Big money moves beyond individual candidates — spending plans, ad reservations, and where the parties are putting their dollars. Each item links to its source. Pro-Israel influence items always appear here, no matter which state you pick.
Monday, October 12, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC's super PAC attacks El-Sayed in Michigan's general election with $95,000 mailer buy; Rogers welcomes the help
The United Democracy Project, AIPAC's super PAC, disclosed about $95,000 in direct-mail spending opposing Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed in the general election, its first general-election spending of 2026. The mailers target roughly 130,000 Jewish voters in Michigan. Republican nominee Mike Rogers publicly welcomed AIPAC's support during the Oct. 8 debate, a reversal after his allies had reportedly asked the group to stay out of the race in August.
Source: Washington Examiner →Monday, October 12, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Democratic pollsters and consultants collected $7M+ from AIPAC's super PAC and DMFI since 2021
At least 20 Democrat-aligned firms have worked for the United Democracy Project or Democratic Majority for Israel since 2021, including Impact Research, Global Strategy Group, and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, collecting more than $7 million. The reporting lands as UDP resumes general-election spending against Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed and has signaled it plans to spend much more to defeat him.
Source: Sludge →Monday, October 12, 2026Party committees
GOP triage: Senate Leadership Fund pulls out of North Carolina, pours $10M+ into Kansas and $5M into South Carolina
With three weeks to Election Day, the Senate Leadership Fund has suspended its North Carolina ad reservations and redirected at least $10 million into Kansas, where Roger Marshall faces an unexpectedly competitive challenge, plus $5 million to boost Darline Graham in South Carolina. The group has spent more than $100 million in Texas backing Ken Paxton, while the pro-Trump MAGA Inc. super PAC fuels a major GOP cash advantage and American Bridge has put $20M+ into South Carolina, Kansas, Florida, and Mississippi for Democrats.
Source: CNN →Sunday, October 11, 2026Outside spending
Pop-up super PAC spends $181,380 on mailers backing socialist independent Greg Levy in Ohio Senate race
A newly formed super PAC called Enough Promises Ohio (FEC #C00962563) reported $181,380 in independent expenditures on printing and postage supporting Gregory Levy, the independent socialist candidate in Ohio's U.S. Senate special election. Levy is on the November ballot against Republican Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown. FEC records show the PAC was created on September 29, 2026 — less than two weeks before its first spending report — and lists Johnmark Roller of Reynoldsburg, Ohio as treasurer. Its donors have not been disclosed yet. Election watchers flagged the spending as a possible GOP spoiler effort to siphon votes from Brown in the tight race. The tactic fits a documented pattern: Reuters reported September 18 that 'pop-up' pro-Trump PACs (Ohio Flyer PAC, Buckeyes PAC) spent over $3 million on anti-Brown ads while delaying donor disclosure until mid-October.
Source: FEC committee filings (Enough Promises Ohio, C00962563); Reuters →Saturday, October 10, 2026AIPAC / UDP
RJC Victory Fund launches $2M ad campaign in Michigan Senate race targeting Jewish Democrats against Abdul El-Sayed
The Republican Jewish Coalition Victory Fund launched a $2 million advertising campaign in Michigan's Senate race on October 7, aimed at swaying Jewish voters against Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed. The campaign features two new ads with self-described lifelong Jewish Democrats saying they won't vote for El-Sayed over his response to the March terror attack at Temple Israel in West Bloomfield, plus mail, grassroots, and GOTV operations.
Source: USA Today →Saturday, October 10, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Mike Rogers now says he welcomes AIPAC support in Michigan Senate race after allies previously told the group to butt out
Republican Senate nominee Mike Rogers said during the Oct. 8 debate that he welcomes AIPAC's public support, reversing his allies' August position, when they asked AIPAC not to advertise on his behalf (an Axios-reported request that led AIPAC to shelve an already-cut anti-El-Sayed video ad). The piece also confirms via FEC filings that United Democracy Project has not spent money in support of Rogers' campaign so far — meaning no new UDP general-election spending beyond the already-recorded $95,000 Oct 9 mailers opposing El-Sayed.
Source: Daily Caller →Saturday, October 10, 2026Outside spending
Senate Majority PAC reserves $5 million in Kansas Senate race
The top super PAC for Senate Democrats is reserving $5 million in TV and digital ads in Kansas' newly competitive Senate race, spending through Election Day to narrow the Republican-Democratic spending gap in the state. The move signals Democrats see a serious chance of winning a state they last won in 1932, with pastor Adam Hamilton challenging Republican incumbent Roger Marshall.
Source: Political Wire (via New York Times) →Saturday, October 10, 2026Party committees
DCCC issues urgent $17 million fundraising plea with October 22 deadline
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee sent donors a memo, obtained by Politico, begging for $17 million by October 22 to compete in Trump-won districts including FL-27, NV-02, SC-01, and NY-21. Executive director Julie Merz warned Democrats could 'leave winnable races on the table' without the cash, while acknowledging the Republican ecosystem's 'massive war chest' — the RNC alone has over $125 million cash on hand now being spent in coordination with candidates.
Source: Political Wire (via Politico) →Saturday, October 10, 2026Outside spending
Congressional Leadership Fund files $32.8 million in new House spending across 31 races
The GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund disclosed $32.8 million in new independent expenditures in an FEC 24-hour filing dated October 10, spanning 31 House races — the largest single tranche going to FL-25 ($3.05M), followed by NJ-07 ($2.10M), MI-07 ($2.03M), MI-10 ($1.81M), and NY-17 ($1.69M). The filing shows CLF simultaneously defending vulnerable incumbents (MI-07, NY-17, CA-22, PA-07, CO-08) and targeting Democratic incumbents in Trump country (FL-25, FL-14, TX-34, TX-28, OH-09, NC-01).
Source: James Kay Online (via Rob Pyers FEC filing post) →Saturday, October 10, 2026Outside spending
House Majority PAC set to be largest final-stretch advertiser at $171 million as Democrats debate map expansion
House Majority PAC is the largest advertiser from Oct 10 through Election Day at $171 million in AdImpact reservations, versus about $108 million for the GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund. HMP has put money behind 28 of the DCCC's 46 'Red to Blue' targets with at least 15 more reservations planned, while pulling money out of races in Nebraska, California and Michigan where Democrats feel confident — with outside groups filling in 8 high-profile races so HMP can redeploy into more competitive, red-leaning areas.
Source: CNN →Friday, October 9, 2026Party committees
Senate GOP super PAC adds $30M more for Paxton in Texas, closing in on $200M
Texas PAC, the Senate Leadership Fund-backed super PAC, is placing another $30 million in TV reservations for Ken Paxton, bringing its Texas TV spending to about $155 million and total spending to nearly $200 million, per Punchbowl News. The added spending comes as polls show Paxton trailing Democrat James Talarico in a race the Cook Political Report rates a toss-up.
Source: Daily Caller (via Punchbowl News) →Friday, October 9, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC's super PAC resumes spending in Michigan Senate race with $95,000 in mailers opposing El-Sayed
United Democracy Project, AIPAC's super PAC, has resumed spending in Michigan's Senate race — its first general-election spending of 2026 — filing a $95,000 direct-mail buy opposing Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, targeted at 130,000 Jewish voters. The mailers invoke a March attack on a Michigan synagogue the FBI called a ‘Hezbollah-inspired act of terrorism.’ At Thursday's debate, Republican Mike Rogers said he would welcome AIPAC's involvement in the race.
Source: Fresh Blog News →Friday, October 9, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Mike Rogers says he welcomes AIPAC support in Michigan Senate debate after allies told the group to stay out
At the Oct. 8 debate, Republican Senate nominee Mike Rogers said he welcomed AIPAC's support after his allies had reportedly asked the group not to advertise for him in August, following Abdul El-Sayed's primary win over AIPAC-backed Haley Stevens. Reporting also notes AIPAC shelved an already-produced video ad targeting El-Sayed after Rogers met with AIPAC's chair. UDP spent $30.6 million in the primary opposing El-Sayed and backing Stevens, per FEC filings.
Source: Daily Caller →Friday, October 9, 2026Election news
Cook Political Report moves 18 House races toward Democrats; sees most likely outcome as a 9-to-19-seat Democratic gain
Cook's House editor moved 18 race ratings toward Democrats on Oct. 9: nine Republican incumbents (Miller-Meeks and Nunn in Iowa; Mackenzie, Perry, and Fitzpatrick in Pennsylvania; Huizenga in Michigan; Wittman in Virginia; Hill in Arkansas; Spartz in Indiana), five Democratic incumbents (Lee in Nevada; Suozzi and Gillen in New York; Gluesenkamp Perez in Washington; Davis in North Carolina), and four open seats (NE-02, IA-02, KY-06, ME-02). Cook now says Democrats need only 20 percent of the Toss Ups to reach a House majority.
Source: Newsmax (Cook Political Report ratings) →Thursday, October 8, 2026Party committees
GOP plans $5M for Darline Graham in SC while Senate Leadership Fund pulls North Carolina
Republicans plan to spend $5 million in South Carolina to help GOP nominee Darline Graham — the sister of late Sen. Lindsey Graham — in the final stretch, while the Senate Republicans' top super PAC has pulled its North Carolina spending, per AdImpact, a sign Cooper's lead over Whatley is seen as insurmountable. Outside Republican groups have poured $122 million into the Texas Senate race (Paxton vs. Talarico). AdImpact has $513 million in future Senate-battleground reservations overall, with Republicans holding 61%.
Source: USA Today →Wednesday, October 7, 2026Outside spending
Trump-linked super PAC spends $8M to oust Tom Suozzi in NY-03
No Going Back, the Trump-linked super PAC sharing a treasurer with MAGA Inc., has spent about $8 million on ads and mail attacking Rep. Tom Suozzi (D) in New York's 3rd District, backing Republican Mike LiPetri. Roughly $19 million is expected to pour into the race overall, with Trump-aligned groups at $11 million by Oct 3. The same PAC is also spending to help Jeanine Driscoll unseat Rep. Laura Gillen in NY-04 and to protect Rep. Mike Lawler in NY-17.
Source: Courier New York →Wednesday, October 7, 2026Outside spending
Pritzker-funded PAC launches ad against Rep. French Hill in AR-02
The Ready for the Fight PAC, funded by Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker, launched its first ad attacking Rep. French Hill (R) in Arkansas's 2nd District, whose opponent is Democrat Chris Jones. The seat was added to the DCCC's Red to Blue program the day before. Hill called the effort a "desperate" attempt to "buy the seat" but acknowledged the political environment is "quite bad" for Republicans; GOP allies still lead spending in the race per AdImpact.
Source: Bloomberg Government →Tuesday, October 6, 2026Party committees
Both parties pull ad money from House races they no longer see as winnable
Congressional Leadership Fund (GOP) and House Majority PAC (Democrats) have both slashed late ad reservations in a handful of House races, per AdImpact. Republicans pulled $1.1M+ from NE-02, ~$200K from NJ-09, $1.4M+ from NY-19 and ~$100K from NY-03 — moving the NY-03 money to NJ-07. Democrats pulled $200K+ from CA-48 and nearly $200K from MI-08, signaling confidence in races they believe are safe. The pattern is classic late-cycle triage: each side ceding seats it no longer thinks are in play.
Source: Washington Examiner →Monday, October 5, 2026Party committees
Senate Leadership Fund shifts money to Kansas: $14M for Marshall, $62M more across five states
The top GOP Senate super PAC paused planned North Carolina ad spending and redirected it to defend Sen. Roger Marshall in Kansas, planning $14 million there. It also added $8M in Maine, $4M in Alaska, $2M in Michigan, $20M in Iowa, and $14M in Ohio — $62 million in new reservations in recent days.
Source: Newsmax (reporting Punchbowl News) →Monday, October 5, 2026Outside spending
Another $1 billion in congressional ad reservations still to air; Ohio leads Senate states
AdImpact reports $1.08 billion in future ad reservations across congressional races. Among Senate contests, Ohio has $137.5 million reserved, followed by North Carolina ($66.6M), Michigan ($60.9M), Iowa ($59.1M), and Maine ($57.1M). September congressional ad spending topped $1 billion — nearly double August.
Source: AdImpact (via Inside Radio) →Saturday, October 3, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Sanders says AIPAC plans $233 million to defeat candidates critical of Netanyahu
Sen. Bernie Sanders said on X that AIPAC plans to spend $233 million in the midterms against candidates who speak out against Netanyahu's government. He also renewed his call to end U.S. military aid to Israel ahead of the November 3 election. Note: PoliVion's own documented totals are lower ($78.3M in AIPAC-linked direct contributions plus $53.5M in UDP outside spending, through mid-August) — Sanders may have information not yet reflected in public filings, so our figures may be behind his.
Source: The Cradle →Monday, September 28, 2026Outside spending
Texas Senate race could draw $200 million in outside spending
The Senate Leadership Fund has already reserved $125 million in advertising in the Texas Senate race, with another $20 million from Trump's MAGA Inc super PAC. A person familiar with internal discussions said the full total could easily reach $200 million.
Source: HuffPost (via DSCC) →Friday, September 4, 2026Party committees
DCCC begins coordinated TV spending: $338,000 in three House races
The DCCC's first coordinated TV buys of the general election totaled $338,000: $248,000 defending Rep. Vicente Gonzalez in TX-34, $57,000 for Rep. Shomari Figures in AL-2, and $33,000 for Christina Hines in MI-10. The committee said it had invested early in digital and mail before going up on TV in the final two months.
Source: Washington Examiner →Thursday, September 3, 2026Party committees
NRCC reserves $8.7 million in coordinated TV ads across 20+ House races
After the Supreme Court struck down limits on coordinated spending between party committees and candidates, the NRCC reserved nearly $8.7 million in coordinated ad buys across more than 20 competitive House races in 17 states. The DCCC had made no coordinated general-election buys at that point.
Source: Washington Examiner →Monday, August 3, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC tops $100 million in 2026 election spending for the second cycle in a row
A review of FEC records found AIPAC's PAC and its super PAC, the United Democracy Project, combined for more than $104 million in 2026-cycle political spending. UDP had another $80 million on hand at the end of June, so the total is likely to grow before Election Day.
Source: Sludge →
No election news for this state yet.